After simulating the playing of the 2016 NCAA Tournament 1,000,000 times, the following occured:
Team champions title game Final Four Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round 2
Kansas 297,243 405,186 538,946 773,042 897,686 995,774
Villanova 111,986 179,376 276,311 588,233 832,138 984,405
Oklahoma 89,696 158,789 380,438 596,532 813,872 975,612
Xavier 88,893 194,012 321,960 494,790 806,222 979,405
Michigan State 67,080 158,361 293,397 482,563 769,438 960,447
Virginia 57,912 141,578 269,644 485,014 721,556 989,486
North Carolina 56,818 139,640 254,501 509,791 720,303 989,533
West Virginia 55,370 133,441 237,207 388,395 742,895 942,305
Oregon 53,119 104,158 282,964 518,727 772,486 994,170
Utah 19,939 58,502 130,144 251,137 521,442 884,555
Miami (FL) 18,717 40,757 83,306 251,503 626,851 949,637
Seton Hall 11,670 36,996 88,011 180,183 396,464 767,360
Iowa State 9,828 34,870 91,929 225,991 540,754 929,100
Baylor 9,594 25,334 97,583 232,546 536,438 880,409
Texas 6,672 18,681 77,407 180,310 498,042 869,675
Purdue 5,821 21,952 61,566 158,200 398,480 782,646
Kentucky 4,903 20,710 58,093 182,706 491,446 880,920
Indiana 4,474 18,567 51,142 161,317 431,476 786,833
Texas A&M 4,096 12,736 60,240 153,403 468,700 918,701
Duke 4,084 12,448 56,430 153,336 402,539 817,056
Maryland 3,820 11,238 30,374 96,147 482,819 848,936
Arizona 3,382 9,715 24,977 98,777 318,502 757,018
Providence 3,007 11,934 32,896 104,121 198,601 628,269
California 2,974 8,777 24,555 79,300 402,763 736,994
Butler 1,661 7,226 23,485 69,462 153,830 531,635
Saint Joseph's 929 3,458 20,270 66,365 158,625 615,876
Texas Tech 916 4,546 16,162 52,273 124,321 468,365
Dayton 886 4,447 16,480 51,568 152,609 608,089
Iowa 772 2,749 8,741 44,844 125,910 653,243
Notre Dame 757 4,095 14,356 42,927 158,784 594,765
Oregon State 590 2,352 15,234 49,932 126,449 612,945
Colorado 497 1,991 6,811 27,888 63,515 566,075
Pittsburgh 459 2,536 9,678 31,207 107,188 533,215
Southern California 273 1,812 7,127 32,211 80,734 371,731
Wisconsin 247 1,585 6,369 22,313 84,739 466,785
Michigan 238 1,290 5,048 17,120 71,822 301,456
Connecticut 156 677 2,866 14,569 38,652 433,925
Syracuse 120 824 4,264 18,036 72,193 391,911
Cincinnati 114 563 4,667 21,600 68,761 384,124
Gonzaga 83 600 3,172 13,513 61,997 232,640
Virginia Commonwealth 74 425 3,671 16,982 56,872 387,055
Temple 38 205 1,127 9,468 40,703 346,757
Hawaii 35 203 1,091 7,460 83,818 263,006
Wichita State 12 53 321 3,021 22,269 112,953
Arkansas - Little Rock 10 197 1,370 8,607 52,908 217,354
Chattanooga 10 149 976 8,338 57,800 213,167
Tulsa 10 77 454 2,339 15,465 103,779
Vanderbilt 6 78 440 3,844 26,965 130,029
UNC Wilmington 3 27 586 4,861 37,026 182,944
Northern Iowa 2 8 220 2,248 24,879 130,325
South Dakota State 2 7 122 1,590 30,600 151,064
Fresno State 1 36 323 2,571 20,097 115,445
Yale 1 7 259 2,564 23,997 119,591
Stephen F. Austin 0 9 88 833 11,034 57,695
Stony Brook 0 8 103 1,504 19,278 119,080
Buffalo 0 2 10 250 5,413 50,363
Middle Tennessee State 0 0 27 429 5,760 39,553
Iona 0 0 26 448 7,858 70,900
Green Bay 0 0 24 396 8,379 81,299
Cal State - Bakersfield 0 0 7 197 2,807 24,388
Weber State 0 0 2 76 1,851 20,595
UNC Asheville 0 0 2 60 1,249 15,595
Florida Gulf Coast 0 0 0 12 320 8,416
Hampton 0 0 0 5 293 10,514
Austin Peay 0 0 0 4 147 4,226
Southern 0 0 0 1 106 4,221
Fairleigh Dickinson 0 0 0 0 42 2,051
Holy Cross 0 0 0 0 22 1,609