After simulating the playing of the 2017 NCAA Tournament 1,000,000 times, the following occured:
Team champions title game Final Four Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round 2
Gonzaga 376,379 475,437 633,278 819,458 939,370 997,280
Villanova 155,414 230,824 506,555 676,754 832,436 995,472
Kansas 88,660 231,886 396,893 596,661 813,326 994,184
UCLA 84,785 216,229 350,693 510,268 796,888 988,561
Arizona 80,168 129,110 224,645 592,971 788,465 992,631
Kentucky 40,788 126,736 235,686 384,747 801,413 978,479
North Carolina 32,741 112,077 221,682 489,108 747,026 989,793
Oregon 26,859 93,748 198,426 406,345 682,627 978,784
Duke 26,778 56,717 200,323 485,287 789,807 985,672
Louisville 18,071 69,634 159,424 351,978 679,152 986,694
Baylor 10,123 24,678 103,556 291,389 581,375 923,631
Purdue 8,807 38,480 98,246 207,114 554,877 873,802
Butler 8,684 39,515 98,020 277,359 600,817 924,026
Florida State 7,838 19,023 50,410 229,555 644,733 953,807
Notre Dame 5,927 14,785 39,732 101,439 564,527 932,426
Virginia 3,519 10,228 52,119 119,566 461,587 832,963
Florida 3,287 9,930 51,987 121,992 485,282 890,929
Creighton 2,718 14,491 44,292 127,677 286,273 788,766
Southern Methodist 2,696 7,719 40,366 135,179 314,111 682,044
Iowa State 2,599 14,527 45,604 115,288 376,063 799,061
Saint Mary's 2,016 5,794 17,769 94,293 189,190 766,598
West Virginia 1,943 5,824 19,286 59,872 422,070 932,794
Minnesota 1,848 11,090 34,467 124,752 333,167 754,570
Cincinnati 1,369 7,830 23,380 57,761 158,815 675,018
Michigan 1,179 6,971 24,201 77,773 211,866 598,492
Wisconsin 1,032 3,464 19,744 49,544 100,768 557,642
Miami (FL) 779 5,261 18,868 54,307 127,098 604,720
Maryland 594 2,111 8,216 56,309 231,523 600,832
Seton Hall 503 3,639 13,721 58,620 144,236 541,802
Virginia Tech 414 1,534 10,102 28,688 66,676 442,358
Arkansas 232 1,956 8,202 39,959 108,409 458,198
Wichita State 224 1,959 8,189 27,338 132,347 601,345
Oklahoma State 208 1,677 7,398 30,704 108,592 401,508
Northwestern 189 777 3,611 15,869 46,723 655,477
Marquette 131 608 5,799 34,163 113,217 524,468
Michigan State 107 1,013 5,038 19,634 59,421 395,280
Xavier 89 425 2,234 21,418 119,387 399,168
Southern California 74 328 2,939 16,096 56,216 180,833
South Carolina 67 410 4,435 27,295 96,223 475,532
Wake Forest 38 325 1,621 6,212 26,129 183,793
Providence 36 161 1,567 9,708 38,321 137,123
Dayton 29 392 2,242 9,796 64,269 398,655
Kansas State 21 206 930 3,811 17,618 141,189
Middle Tennessee State 10 167 1,130 9,433 54,761 245,430
Virginia Commonwealth 8 44 375 5,306 22,079 233,402
Rhode Island 6 85 688 5,474 29,846 211,234
Vanderbilt 6 53 433 3,072 13,788 344,523
Nevada 4 78 615 4,453 40,952 200,939
UNC Wilmington 3 13 383 2,769 37,148 167,037
Vermont 0 27 306 2,541 28,108 126,198
East Tennessee State 0 3 73 683 15,983 109,071
Winthrop 0 1 30 762 11,255 75,974
New Mexico State 0 0 52 868 9,977 76,369
Princeton 0 0 6 198 8,460 67,574
Northern Kentucky 0 0 6 51 1,971 21,521
Bucknell 0 0 4 90 4,943 67,206
Iona 0 0 1 42 1,254 21,216
Kent State 0 0 1 16 550 11,439
North Dakota 0 0 1 7 266 7,369
Florida Gulf Coast 0 0 0 141 4,357 46,193
Troy 0 0 0 15 753 14,328
Jacksonville State 0 0 0 7 390 13,306
Texas Southern 0 0 0 7 329 10,207
New Orleans 0 0 0 3 100 3,187
South Dakota State 0 0 0 2 119 2,720
UC-Davis 0 0 0 2 112 3,692
Mount St. Mary's 0 0 0 1 20 1,341
North Carolina Central 0 0 0 0 43 2,124