After simulating the playing of the 2018 NCAA Tournament 1,000,000 times, the following occured:
Team champions title game Final Four Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round 2
Virginia 391,743 512,777 638,143 783,051 889,699 994,160
Villanova 160,719 324,433 478,796 641,454 855,585 992,631
Xavier 92,554 165,565 410,475 596,598 826,119 998,302
Kansas 64,848 162,932 312,183 527,085 754,503 972,683
Michigan State 49,043 129,848 259,227 451,832 725,380 968,546
Cincinnati 45,285 89,899 160,665 489,802 757,137 977,047
Duke 26,808 81,959 186,403 361,533 714,521 978,148
Purdue 22,670 72,157 150,867 380,235 637,527 955,242
North Carolina 21,044 50,233 173,340 379,513 654,907 963,806
Tennessee 17,936 42,604 89,314 335,124 693,106 960,061
Texas Tech 16,054 55,142 124,493 337,972 642,989 948,071
Michigan 15,029 38,137 139,469 320,382 594,190 909,555
West Virginia 14,840 48,381 104,251 189,718 543,787 878,927
Gonzaga 11,605 30,410 116,166 227,075 589,734 910,635
Auburn 8,048 30,655 85,680 205,550 518,245 899,480
Kentucky 5,501 15,634 38,856 92,142 507,419 863,454
Clemson 5,342 21,533 62,664 155,141 403,479 767,275
Wichita State 5,223 21,084 54,774 118,355 422,622 912,938
Houston 3,318 11,030 53,016 154,390 349,311 791,107
Arizona 3,238 10,109 27,346 70,185 430,534 832,180
Ohio State 2,679 8,986 44,450 105,411 342,531 762,732
Arkansas 2,110 9,567 27,675 99,467 217,707 567,004
Texas Christian 2,010 9,649 31,328 85,436 205,916 661,536
Florida 1,624 8,179 25,629 100,395 254,866 648,759
Kansas State 1,492 4,688 12,667 33,047 67,065 559,821
Seton Hall 1,159 5,838 20,825 64,033 146,997 561,382
Texas A&M 1,054 3,968 22,076 73,204 180,466 516,490
Oklahoma 992 5,404 20,485 62,304 194,792 613,116
Miami (FL) 900 3,407 11,397 70,460 223,551 651,282
Texas 844 3,254 10,331 63,176 160,451 598,621
Providence 789 3,097 18,172 63,397 161,911 483,510
Butler 671 3,776 12,876 55,274 140,836 432,996
Creighton 500 1,976 6,328 18,955 42,955 440,179
Virginia Tech 454 2,723 10,044 28,910 83,162 542,040
North Carolina State 412 2,296 9,937 35,993 96,114 438,618
Missouri 361 1,638 10,750 32,741 89,431 506,460
Florida State 302 1,354 9,621 30,190 84,439 493,540
Alabama 213 1,445 5,852 19,079 60,925 457,960
Nevada 132 710 3,018 25,013 80,677 401,379
Rhode Island 131 959 4,978 20,827 89,389 386,884
UCLA 123 805 3,536 19,809 68,049 229,281
Arizona State 49 400 2,129 8,929 32,871 169,267
Loyola - Chicago 42 292 1,619 16,146 79,224 348,718
Syracuse 41 360 2,119 8,926 32,918 169,197
New Mexico State 24 295 1,935 10,892 63,460 232,725
St. Bonaventure 14 132 847 6,239 28,487 121,960
South Dakota State 13 117 1,305 6,999 52,549 237,268
San Diego State 10 66 892 7,102 40,322 208,893
Murray State 3 34 304 2,096 25,359 121,073
Buffalo 2 19 178 1,457 33,667 167,820
Davidson 1 17 136 1,151 28,380 136,546
UNC Greensboro 1 5 87 985 15,186 89,365
Charleston 0 8 87 1,137 14,816 100,520
Montana 0 7 173 1,856 16,177 90,445
Marshall 0 3 32 378 8,232 87,062
Stephen F. Austin 0 3 15 352 5,609 51,929
Lipscomb 0 1 8 156 2,716 36,194
Cal State - Fullerton 0 0 9 257 3,930 44,758
Bucknell 0 0 9 177 2,915 31,454
Pennsylvania 0 0 7 169 2,386 27,317
Iona 0 0 4 36 1,298 21,852
Georgia State 0 0 1 78 1,735 22,953
UMBC 0 0 1 12 281 5,840
Wright State 0 0 0 201 4,119 39,939
Radford 0 0 0 10 316 6,572
North Carolina Central 0 0 0 1 5 973
Long Island 0 0 0 0 12 797
Texas Southern 0 0 0 0 6 725